Here comes the historic inflection point

And here's what I think happens next

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With only 28 days to go until the UK’s 2024 general election something truly historic is unfolding in the national polls.

In the first poll since Nigel Farage announced he’s back as leader of Reform and running in Clacton, the Reform party is now just 2-points behind the Tories.

Given the usual volatility in polling, this means it’s now entirely plausible Reform is already level with, if not slightly ahead of, the Tories.

What does this mean?

It means —as I’ve been warning for months— we are now on the cusp of something truly historic in British politics.

An inflection point. A major turning point when Reform might start to replace the Conservative Party in the polls and, over the longer-term, the political system.

And if this does happen then for all the reasons I outline below all bets are off.

So, here’s the detail on not just that poll but what I think is about to unfold.

What to look out for. What people are saying. How Farage will likely respond.

And where we might be heading in what’s suddenly become a much more interesting and potentially historic election.