Election eve. My PREDICTIONS. And details of tonight's TOWN HALL.

Matt's predictions and details of tonight's Town Hall for paying subscribers

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I decided I should probably stop making election predictions when, after successfully forecasting Brexit and Trump, in 2016, I got carried away, underestimated Jeremy Corbyn’s support (by 2 points) and ended up eating my own book on global television.

Nonetheless, “just when I thought was out”, said Michael Corleone in Godfather III, “they pull me back in”. So here, throwing caution to the wind, are my predictions and thoughts ahead of the 2024 election, including my final poll of the campaign.

Details for tonight’s online Town Hall for our paying subscribers, who are invited to join me at 21.00-22.00/9-10pm BST tonight in our Zoom Town Hall are at the end of this e-mail so do leave questions in the comments for us to discuss live on election eve.

I will also be providing ongoing thoughts and analysis over the next 48 hours to our paying subscribers, in the form of audio notes given how quickly things will be moving. So do upgrade now if you want to be part of this historic event …